Abellia Noricha Ananta silalahi, Elita Nurdea, Tiara Ananda, Kevin Kristiandi

Implikasi Ketegangan Houthi–Israel terhadap Stabilitas Jalur Perdagangan di Negara Pesisir Laut Merah 2023-2024

Introduction

Implikasi ketegangan houthi–israel terhadap stabilitas jalur perdagangan di negara pesisir laut merah 2023-2024. Analisis dampak ketegangan Houthi-Israel pada stabilitas jalur perdagangan Laut Merah 2023-2024. Menjelajahi implikasi keamanan maritim, ekonomi global, & peran negara pesisir.

Abstract

This study examines the implications of tensions between the Houthi group and Israel on the stability of trade routes in Red Sea coastal states during 2023–2024. The conflict, which began with Houthi solidarity with Palestine, escalated into attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, disrupting freedom of navigation and transforming strategic trade corridors into high-risk zones. Using Keitaro Ushirogata's maritime security theory and a qualitative case study approach, this research analyzes three main aspects: area denial as a Houthi strategy, sea control through coastal state cooperation, and power projection by the United States through Operation Prosperity Guardian. The findings indicate that this tension impacts not only maritime security but also global economic stability and inequality in world trade governance. Coastal states such as Egypt, Yemen, and Djibouti have suffered economic losses due to declining port activities and rising logistics costs. This study concludes that regional conflicts involving non-state actors can disrupt the global trading system. Therefore, fairer and more inclusive international maritime cooperation is needed to maintain the security and smooth flow of strategic trade routes in the Red Sea.

Review

This timely study addresses a critically important and unfolding geopolitical issue: the implications of Houthi–Israel tensions on Red Sea trade stability during 2023–2024. The research effectively frames the conflict's evolution from solidarity to direct attacks on commercial vessels, thereby transforming vital trade corridors into high-risk zones. The abstract clearly outlines a robust methodological approach, utilizing Keitaro Ushirogata's maritime security theory within a qualitative case study framework. The proposed analysis of Houthi area denial strategies, coastal state cooperation for sea control, and U.S. power projection through Operation Prosperity Guardian promises a comprehensive examination of the multi-faceted challenges at play, setting a strong foundation for the investigation. The findings presented highlight the far-reaching consequences of these tensions, extending beyond immediate maritime security concerns to impact global economic stability and expose inequalities in world trade governance. The study provides concrete examples of economic losses incurred by key coastal states such as Egypt, Yemen, and Djibouti, directly attributing these to declining port activities and escalating logistics costs. Crucially, the research underscores the significant conclusion that regional conflicts, particularly those involving non-state actors, possess the capacity to profoundly disrupt the intricate global trading system, thereby making a valuable contribution to understanding contemporary geopolitical economics and maritime security. While the study offers a compelling overview, future iterations or the full manuscript could benefit from further elaboration on certain aspects. Specifically, the direct "Houthi–Israel tension" aspect might require more precise delineation, as the abstract primarily details Houthi actions and the subsequent international response, rather than direct Houthi-Israel confrontations in the Red Sea itself. Additionally, while the call for "fairer and more inclusive international maritime cooperation" is a sound recommendation, the link between the study's findings on "inequality in world trade governance" and the specific mechanisms for achieving such cooperation could be more explicitly explored. This would further strengthen the policy implications derived from this pertinent analysis.

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